The situation of chemical foreign trade in 2013 is not optimistic

China Drying News In 2013, China's chemical import and export trade will face the double challenge of continuous decline in external demand and the tightening of related policies of trading partners. At the same time, the irrational environmental protection of the public has pushed the space for domestic chemical industry development. The import and export trade of the industry is not optimistic. This is the message from the 2012/2013 China Chemical Hot Products and Sustainable Development Forum held in Beijing on December 11th.

In the total amount of US$3642.1 billion in China’s imports and exports in 2011, the share of emerging markets in China’s trade exceeded 50%, regardless of whether it was total imports, exports, or imports. Since the second half of 2011, macroeconomic operations in emerging market economies have experienced fierce fluctuations, rapid economic growth has stalled, capital has fled to large scale, and currencies have devalued significantly. Even hot emerging markets such as the BRICS countries have not been spared. According to Dr. Mei Xinyu, a researcher of the International Trade and Economic Cooperation Research Institute of the Ministry of Commerce, the continuation of this trend will have a huge impact on the import and export trade of the Chinese chemical industry in 2013.

"Although the total import and export volume of China's chemical industry accounts for a small proportion of the total industrial output value, there are still many problems in the structural analysis." Li Zhong, Deputy Director of the China National Chemical Information Center, said that the export distribution of some chemical products in China and the world The distribution of the major importing countries of products is very different. The spatial difference in the export market indicates that China’s chemical products have yet to make progress in export strategies. In addition, China's exports of chemical products are mainly resources, energy consumption, labor-intensive products, while imports are high-end chemicals. Such an import and export structure is easily subject to restrictions and restrictions on international policies such as carbon tariffs.

Not only is it a carbon tariff, “the related trade policies of our trading partners are tightening.” Mei Xinyu said. According to the statistics of the Global Trade Early Warning Organization, between 2008 and June 2012, a total of 2,430 trade protection measures were initiated globally, of which 1,144 were trade protection measures, accounting for 47.1%. From 1979 to June 2012, among the 1,530 trade remedy investigations initiated by the world against China, the chemical industry accounted for 371 cases. "China is the biggest victim of international trade protectionism, and chemical industry is the hardest hit," concluded Mei Xinyu.

The disadvantages of the internal development environment, the impact of chemical foreign trade can not be ignored. “The irrational protection of rights has caused the chemical industry to be particularly injured.” Mei Xinyu pointed out that in recent years, chemical industry has been hit hardest among the frequent public environmental protection rights. Li Zhong also mentioned that people's “demonization” of the chemical industry has severely squeezed the future development of chemical industry and may become a basic obstacle to trade development.

Where is the way out? Li Zhong believes that the urgent need for the chemical industry is to carry out industrial transformation and upgrading. “Products should shift from short-term to long-tailed economies, pay more attention to high-end fine chemicals and specialty chemicals, and change the product mix of imports and exports.” Li Zhong also proposed to analyze and find out the spatial difference in the export market of chemical products. It has become a good strategy to expand foreign trade.

As for the irrational rights of the public, Mei Xinyu believes that environmental protection is appropriate, but it should be based on scientific understanding rather than misrecognition and ambiguity. Li Zhong also believes that the contribution of chemical industry to humanity must be recognized and the development space of the chemical industry should be solved.

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