High-grade CNC products into the weakness of machine tool development

In the first half of 2013, this year's economic situation and orders fell. However, with the continuous recovery of the world economy and the dumping of national policies to the real economy, the growth in the export value of China's machine tool products this year is expected to reach 12% to 15%.

In 2012, China’s metal processing machine tool consumption amounted to US$38.28 billion, of which, Jinche Machine Tool’s consumption amounted to US$27.38 billion, and forming machine tool consumption amounted to US$10.9 billion; domestically-made metal processing machine tool’s sales value reached US$27.36 billion, of which, Jinche Machine Tool sales value was 180.7. Billion dollars, the sales value of forming machine tools was 18.07 billion US dollars.

Statistics show that in 2012, the world's 28 major machine tool producing countries and regions produced a value of 93.2 billion U.S. dollars, China accounted for about 30%, ranking first, and the consumption of metal processing machine tools in China accounted for 45% of the global market, ranking the world for 11 consecutive years. The first largest consumer nation has become the largest producer for four consecutive years. In spite of this, China's machine tool industry still has many problems, such as the lack of share in the high-end market and the overall brand image to be improved. It can be said that China's machine tool industry is still in a big but not strong state.

In the context of the global economic downturn, China's foreign trade in machine tool products has maintained a relatively stable growth. According to customs statistics, in 2012, the export value of China's machine tool products was 3.917 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 9.82% year-on-year, and the total import value was 14.726 billion U.S. dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 0.05%.

In the first half of this year, the export value of China’s machine tool products was US$2.03 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7%. The growth rate slowed down from 2012. The import value was 5.7 billion U.S. dollars, a sharp decline, which was a 17.6% year-on-year decrease. The trade deficit was 3.67 billion U.S. dollars, which was a significant drop from the 5 billion U.S. dollars in the same period in 2012.

Export growth has picked up

According to customs statistics, in the first half of 2012, China’s machine tool export situation was relatively good, and its export increased by 20% year-on-year, indicating that the order volume in 2011 was relatively large; however, the growth rate of machine tool exports has obviously slowed down since June 2012. It can be seen that Affected by the international economic situation, international orders for machine tools decreased significantly in 2012. In the first half of 2013, the overall situation continued to continue in the second half of 2012, with a slow increase. It can be seen that the impact of the economic downturn will continue for some time.

In the first half of 2013, the export value of metal processing machine tools was US$1.38 billion, accounting for 67.8% of total machine tool exports. The export value of metal processing machine tools increased by 1.71% year-on-year, which was lower than the overall export growth rate of machine tools. This was the main factor that caused the slowdown in the overall export growth of China's machine tools. Among them, exports of CNC machine tools were 340 million U.S. dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 9.56%, while exports of machining centers and combination machine tools saw a significant increase, at 3.3% and 9.69%, respectively.

From the perspective of export markets, in the first half of 2013, China’s major machine tool export markets remained the markets of Asia and Europe and the United States and Europe. The export markets in Asia and North America grew by 7.45% and 16.76%, respectively. The European market was affected by the economic downturn and exports did not increase. Against the decline, the decline was 4.53% and the market share slightly changed, but the overall change was modest. Asia and Europe and the United States still account for about 40% of their exports, while the remaining 20% ​​are occupied by markets such as Latin America and Africa.

As a result of the transfer of manufacturing industries from the world to ASEAN countries and the return of U.S. manufacturing, China's exports to ASEAN countries and North America increased by 28.69% and 16.76%.

In the first half of 2013, the growth rate of the United States market was rapid, with a growth rate of 19.27%, but it was slower than the increase of 43.09% in the first quarter. The reason is that due to the return of U.S. manufacturing to its home country, the demand for its domestic machine tools has increased substantially, but the demand for heat has gradually decreased and eventually stabilized.

In recent years, ASEAN countries such as Vietnam, Indonesia, and Malaysia have actively undertaken the transfer of labor-intensive industries, which has become a hot spot for investment by multinational corporations, and the growth of manufacturing industries is strong. In the first half of this year, China's machine tool exports grew faster than the above-mentioned countries, of which Vietnam is an explosive growth, an increase of 130%, and even the hop count has become China's second-largest market for machine tool exports.

From the trading perspective, the first half of this year, the general trade as the main means of trade of machine tools exports, accounting for 81.6%, an increase of 4.79%; followed by processing trade, accounting for 12.25%, exports of 250 million US dollars was basically the same as last year.

The export of machine tools is mainly concentrated in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong and Guangdong. In addition, the northeast old industrial base and the machine tool industry in the Midwest are gradually forming industrial clusters centered on leading enterprises. In the first half of this year, the growth rate of machine tool exports from Beijing and Guangxi increased by 38.29% and 257.8%, respectively. From the export prices, it can be seen that the export of machine tools from Liaoning, Beijing and Guangxi is dominated by high value-added high-end products.

Significant decline in import volume

In the first half of 2013, China imported a total of 53,000 machine tools, a year-on-year decrease of 16%; the import amount was US$5.7 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 17.6%; and the import unit price was US$107,000 per unit, a year-on-year decrease of 1.44%.

China's non-metal processing machine tools have a higher level of manufacturing and import volume; the vast majority of imported machine tools are metal processing machine tools. In the first half of 2013, the import value of metal processing machine tools was US$5.25 billion, accounting for 92% of the total import value of all machine tools. The average unit price of imported machine tools is US$107,000, which is nearly 450 times the average export price of US$240. The average unit price of imported metal processing machines is as much as US$137,000, and the average price of domestic metal cutting machine tools exported is only US$317.

At present, the technological level of the world's machine tools is mainly driven by the production of CNC machine sheets. The development in the next 20 years will also be the case. On the basis of further improving accuracy, efficiency, automation, intelligence, and networking, the company has gradually transitioned to processing units and cutting-edge flexible manufacturing systems.

While the Chinese machine tool industry has experienced the development process of learning, imitating, and independent innovation, there is still a considerable gap between accuracy, efficiency, automation, intelligence, environmental protection, and foreign advanced level. The lack of high-speed, high-precision, compound, and intelligent high-level numerically-controlled machine tools has caused the lack of commonality and key technologies to make the status of the “low-end melee and high-end fall” of the domestic machine tool industry not yet fundamentally reversed. At present, the imported products account for 85% of the domestic high-end machine tool market share, while the domestically-used CNC machine tools account for nearly 70% of the simple economical CNC machine tools with low added value.

From the import market and country perspective, the structure of China's machine tool import market is still dominated by Asia and Europe, with imports accounting for nearly 95% of the total. However, the market structure has been dominated by Asia, which accounted for more than 60% of the past, and it has become equal to Europe and Asia.

In 2013, China's imports of machine tools from Japan fell drastically by 41.6%. The growth rate from the German, U.S., and UK markets was significant. To a certain extent, it was also a substitute for Japanese machine tools. However, due to its high price, it cannot Completely compensates for the vacancy in the Japanese market. The sharp decrease in the Japanese market is also the main reason that the total import volume of China's machine tools has fallen by a large margin compared with the same period of last year.

Machine tool export challenges and situations coexist

During the "12th Five-Year Plan" period, the world economic and trade pattern will usher in major and profound changes. China's development is still in an important period of strategic opportunities. Emerging economies and developing countries are expected to maintain rapid economic growth. Developed countries will continue to rely on scientific and technological innovation to accelerate industrial adjustment. The overall strength of China's mechanical and electrical industry will rise, complement the structure of foreign electromechanical industries, and take advantage of the obvious advantages of international industrial transfer. change.

However, the risks brought about by the international financial crisis still exist. It is very difficult for the world economy to achieve strong, sustainable and balanced growth, and the international cooperation and struggle situation is more complicated. Therefore, the import and export of electromechanical and high-tech products are faced with rare new opportunities as well as many new challenges. Opportunities are bred to meet the challenges.

The world economic structure accelerated its transformation. The major economies accelerated the strategic adjustment of technological innovation and industrial structure and provided opportunities for me to participate in international industrial transfer and foreign economic and technological cooperation. Emerging economies and developing countries actively participated in and integrated into the international economy and accelerated the process of urbanization and industrialization. Demand is expected to maintain rapid growth and the contribution to the global trade in electromechanical products will further increase. As the world's largest category of trade products, the global trade in electromechanical products will continue to grow at a faster rate. China's mechanical and electrical products have a certain trade space in the international market.

The export advantage of mechanical and electrical products in China has remained unchanged. China's mechanical and electrical industry has a complete range of products, huge production capacity, complete industrial supporting systems and infrastructure, and an industrial base for exporting countries. China's export of mechanical and electrical products complements long-term structural complementarity between developed countries and developing countries. The comparative advantage is obvious. In particular, large-scale complete sets of equipment have comprehensive advantages in terms of price, performance, construction period, and financing.

The adjustment of domestic industrial structure will make the import of electromechanical and high-tech products have greater development. With the intensified implementation of the strategy for expanding domestic demand, residents’ income continues to increase, and new changes in the population structure will promote the upgrading of domestic consumption structures. The process of industrialization in China is accelerating, and key industries urgently need to accelerate the development through the introduction of advanced technology and equipment and key parts and components, and upgrade their technological level and international competitiveness.

This will create a good market space for China to expand imports of mechanical and electrical products. Strategic emerging industries are expected to become new growth points for foreign trade. Chinese enterprises have obvious advantages in the manufacturing of new energy products such as photovoltaics and wind energy. Some products have begun to be exported. Some new materials, a new generation of information technology, and biotechnology have reached the international advanced level, and their development prospects are very broad. With the successive introduction of relevant support policies, the internationalization of China's strategic emerging industries is expected to further accelerate.

Since the party’s 18th National Congress, the Central Government has determined the principle of a major government that fully supports the real economy. As the mother of manufacturing industry, the machine tool industry is bound to usher in the spring of development, accelerating the transition from a machine tool-producing country to a machine-tool-powerful country, and realizing a series of mid- and long-term goals of domestically-made mid-to-high-end CNC machine tools in the domestic market.