What is behind the warning that “growing money does not make money”?

[China Agricultural Machinery Industry News] At present, some grain production areas in China have experienced negative signs, and the benefits of grain production have decreased. Even some places have experienced serious losses. The large grain farmers have a negative mentality, and there are situations such as wait and see, rent reduction, and rent retreat. If the grain does not make money, it will inevitably bring about a chain reaction, which will damage the agriculture at the source, and urgently need to come up with a solution as soon as possible.

What is behind the warning that “growing money does not make money”?

The current rural areas are no longer the rural areas in the early days of reform and opening up. The rural human resources structure has undergone fundamental changes. Seeing that household registration is more people and less land, it is not the case. In addition to some elderly people in the village, there is basically no green farming. Self-cultivation of farmers. Most of the young and middle-aged farmers of this generation have moved to the city, relying on urban employment. Those who continue to grow grain in rural areas are grain-growing enterprises or large-scale farmers who have been cultivated on a large scale through land transfer.

Under this structure, grain-growing enterprises and large-scale households are faced with the predicament of not making money by growing grain. If they do not see hope, they will spontaneously choose to either adjust the variety or reduce the rent and rent. The former is due to the large-scale concentration of land planting. Once the grain replanting is driven by the formation of economic crops, it is highly likely that the whole country will cause large fluctuations in the grain area. This kind of fluctuation is not only for food security but also for food prices. It is unacceptable and will make the food market of the whole country a crisis. If large enterprises and large grain growers step back from rural land, the hollowing out of the rural manpower structure will likely lead to a large amount of cultivated land.

For a long time, the slogan for agriculture has been "stabilizing grain and increasing income". Only by increasing income can we stabilize grain, "there is grain in our hands, and we don't panic in our hearts." Only by stabilizing grain can we stabilize the confidence of the whole country. Therefore, solving the problem of not making money by growing grain is the top priority for the current stabilization of agriculture.

Why do you not make money by growing grain? Generally speaking, it is the high cost of growing grain, the low price of grain, and the inability to grow grain.

The cost is high and the labor cost in rural areas is rising rapidly. Take the farmers in the suburbs of Chengdu as an example. Before 2008, the average labor cost in rural areas was about 50 yuan/day, and it has risen to 100 yuan/day per person. Even soared to 150 yuan / day per person. Coupled with the cost of agricultural materials such as seeds, fertilizers, water, pesticides, the cost of agricultural machinery and soil improvement, the overall cost of growing food has been gradually pushing up. Some experts have said that China's agriculture has entered a stage of high cost development.

The high cost is also high in the high risk of planting. China is a country with frequent natural disasters, and the ability of agriculture to resist natural disasters is very weak. The progress of agricultural science and technology is also concentrated on crops such as variety optimization. There is no fundamental reversal in the big pattern of eating by the sky.

Low prices are affected by competition for international food prices. At present, the domestic prices of some major agricultural products have been significantly higher than the duty-paid prices of foreign agricultural products, and the capping effect of agricultural product price ceilings has begun to appear. Some food experts have revealed that in places where Southeast Asia and China border, the inflow of border trade is more food. The domestic grain processing market is basically liberalized. In the free market competition, domestic food is difficult to compete with imported food, causing domestic food prices to be depressed.

In this regard, the state has initiated a series of measures such as direct grain subsidies and food market purchases. However, from the reality, it is still a difficult problem to solve the problem of not making money by growing grain. There are obstacles to be solved in all links. For example, grain is directly subsidized, and many places are added to the contractor's account of the land. Even if the farmer may work and live far away from the “Guangzhou-Guangzhou-Shenzhen”, the actual grain-growing people in the local area are not motivated enough.

Another example is the contradiction of the structure of grain planting, the contradiction of the business risks of purchasing grain enterprises due to the reverse of grain prices, the difficulty in the deep processing of grain is difficult to sell, and so on.

At present, agricultural reform is gradually entering the “deep water zone”. The lifeblood of the country of food is urgently needed to first clarify the understanding with the spirit of reform, to see the risks behind the twelve consecutive increases, and to establish a main line of national grain through the top-level design, and to enhance the systematic thinking of serving the main line in all sectors of the grain-related sectors. Let the government's hands drive the market to force, in order to change the status quo of not making money, and to protect our food security.

(Original title: Vigilance "Growing grain does not make money" damages agriculture fundamentally)